
The Era of Easy Government Debt Might Be Over | Why Bond Markets Are Pushing Back?
Governments worldwide are facing increasing pressure from bond markets as investor appetite for long-term debt weakens. Record levels of debt issuance, coupled with higher yields, are driving up borrowing costs and raising concerns about fiscal sustainability. Central banks are also reducing their bond holdings, further impacting demand. The return of “bond vigilantes” — investors demanding fiscal discipline — threatens to reshape public finance strategies globally. Without significant economic growth or spending cuts, many governments risk higher borrowing costs and fiscal instability.
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The Global Cost of a Weaker Dollar
The US dollar is facing its steepest decline in years, driven by administration’s trade policies and aggressive tariffs. The ICE Dollar Index has dropped over 8% in 2025—the worst start in four decades—raising concerns about the dollar’s long-standing global dominance.
This decline is creating ripple effects across the global economy. Exporters in Europe and Asia are being hit by both the weaker dollar and US import levies, while central banks face pressure to cut interest rates to counter stronger domestic currencies. Companies like Toyota, LVMH, and Harris Tweed are seeing profitability threatened, and tourism flows are likely to be affected.
While there’s no viable alternative to the dollar as the world’s reserve currency, confidence in its role is being tested. Investors are beginning to question whether the US remains the reliable anchor of the global financial system—a shift that, even if gradual, could have far-reaching implications.
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